CSEP

The Centre for Social and Economic Progress (CSEP)

ANNUAL REPORT
2020

About Us

HISTORY

CSEP started in 2013 as the Brookings Institution India Center (BIIC), an overseas centre of the Brookings Institution, one of the world’s oldest and premier think tanks. After seven years of a fruitful partnership, the two institutions formally separated as of September 10, 2020. CSEP seeks to carry forward the legacy of BIIC and build upon it by further expanding the research agenda and sharpening the policy insights. CSEP inherits Brookings India’s personnel, values and funding structures.

The Centre for Social and Economic Progress (CSEP) conducts in-depth, policy relevant research and provides evidence-based recommendations to the challenges facing India and the world. It draws on the expertise of its researchers, extensive interactions with policy makers as well as convening power to enhance the impact of research. Independence, integrity and impact are key values that guide all our work. CSEP as an institution espouses no views.

Our researchers work across domains including, but not limited to, Growth, Finance & Development; Energy, Natural Resources and Sustainability; and Foreign Policy and Security. All our research and policy recommendations are freely available to the public.

CSEP is based in New Delhi and registered as a company limited by shares and not for profit, under Section 8 of the Companies Act, 1956

INDEPENDENCE INTEGRITY IMPACT

CHAIRMAN’S

MESSAGE

Vikram Singh Mehta

Chairman & Distinguished

Fellow Diplomacy

2020 is the year that many of us will wish had never come to pass but which all of us will never forget. It has left an indelible mark on our lives. 2020 is also the year Brookings India morphed into the CSEP Research Foundation. CSEP is the acronym for “Centre for Social and Economic Progress”. This name change was accompanied by the reconstitution of the Board of Directors and the executive management.

CSEP was formally constituted on ... when the Ministry of .. approved the name change of Brookings India to CSEP Research Foundation. The new Board of CSEP comprising Rahul Bajaj, Gaurav Dalmia, Adi Godrej, Vikram Kirloskar, Hari Bhartia, Rakesh Mohan and myself met virtually for the first meeting on September ... . The Board elected me as the Chairman of CSEP and Rakesh Mohan as its President. The Board also defined the mandate of CSEP. It was to be a public policy oriented, research think tank focused on issues of public importance to India. It would be independent and non-partisan. Its research would be grounded in empirical data and analytical rigour. It was not a lobby or advocacy group. All of its research and associated activities would be in the public domain. And its underlying objective would be to support the government and other decision makers of public policy in the discharge of their responsibilities.

A research think tank does not fit neatly into our policy ecosystem. It has no formal locus standi. Its endeavour to impact policy depends entirely on the response of the authorities to the quality and relevance of its scholarship. Quality and relevance are two sides of the coin of impact. One without the other has no value, at least not in the eyes of the decision maker. A solid piece of research but on a subject that is not of contemporary policy significance will gather dust. A scratchy piece of work on a subject of relevance will be dismissed. The balance between the two is not easy to strike but it has to be done. Else the think tank would have a short life.

That is why the key factor for success for a think tank is to build a faculty that combines scholarship with public policy insight and experience. It is in this context that I was delighted when Dr Rakesh Mohan agreed to delay his plans for a leisured existence to take charge of CSEP as its President and Distinguished Fellow. Rakesh has a long and distinguished pedigree as an academic and public servant. I was also delighted to welcome Dr Anoop Singh (until October 31, 2020, the member of the Finance Commission) and Dr Montek Singh Ahluwalia as Distinguished Fellows and Dr Laveesh Bhandari as a Senior Fellow. Together with Ambassador Shivshankar Menon who was earlier Distinguished Fellow at Brookings India and the many excellent scholars that moved to CSEP from Brookings India, I believe CSEP can justifiably claim to have commenced its journey with just such a balance

A changing world and India’s place in it

The world is in a state of churn. Many of the assumptions that underpinned the post-World War 2 world order have been overturned. Multilateralism has given way to resurgent nationalism. The so-called “Washington consensus” of market liberalism has been somewhat discredited by the “Beijing Consensus” of a strong state. All of these trends were evident before COVID-19. The pandemic accelerated the process and further upended conventional thinking and behaviours. COVID-19 confirmed there are no universal verities.

It is against this backdrop that India has to meet a complex set of objectives. To reinvigorate economic growth; alleviate poverty; weaken the link between energy demand and environmental pollution; humanise technology; manage border disputes...the list is long. In many respects, the task is beyond the reach of the gifted amateur that man the levers of bureaucratic governance. It requires the input of the specialist expert. It is in this latter regard that CSEP is hopeful that through its research and expertise, it can make a modest contribution.

Like Brookings India, CSEP is a Section 8 company with no revenue model. There is no charge for what it does. Brookings India was built on the back of the generosity of its Founders Circle, all of whom are considered as founder members of CSEP; its “friends” and the project-related funding provided by institutions. A similar funding model will underpin CSEP. It will draw on the support of individuals, corporates, multilaterals and foundations to finance its research program. In return for their support, it will commit to a research platform built on the pillars of Independence, Integrity and Impact.

PRESIDENT'S

MESSAGE

Rakesh Mohan

President & Distinguished

Fellow

I write this with a measure of great excitement as well as some trepidation. It is a matter of considerable privilege and opportunity to be invited to head the Centre for Social and Economic Progress as it succeeds Brookings India. As the country faces new global and domestic challenges in almost every sphere, we hope that policymaking will benefit greatly from think tanks that generate knowledge-based policy prescriptions that arise from rigorous research as well as practical experience. That is the task before us as we build on our pedigree of seven years as Brookings India.We benefited greatly from the overall umbrella of Brookings India, perhaps the most well-recognised global policy research institution. We’ve also benefited from the generosity of our Founding Circle members and funding from different foundations and other donors that has sustained the institution so far. We now have to chart out an independent path as we quickly go through accelerated adolescence into adulthood as a credible and dependable policy research institution whose motto is independence, impact and integrity.

How would we achieve this?

The key is to strengthen and expand a faculty of scholars who exhibit exceptional rigour and credibility. We are fortunate to have a group of globally recognised distinguished fellows who will provide guidance and thought leadership. Our research teams will be led by senior established research scholars and practitioners. The long-term sustainability of the institution will be ensured by the simultaneous induction of accomplished younger research scholars who have demonstrated degrees of excellence, and who can be expected to be our torchbearers in the future. And, finally, we will continue to host a flow of young budding researchers who will cut their professional teeth here as they acquire a taste for policy oriented research under the guidance of experienced mentors, before embarking on careers in both research and policy in the wider world. The byword in all we do must be excellence

New challenges in a new world

India, and the world at large, have gone through great stress over the last decade, since the outbreak of the North Atlantic Financial Crisis (NAFC) in 2008-09. This stress has been all-encompassing, affecting the global economy, generating new political faultlines within countries, and giving rise to geopolitical tensions that have made global problem solving much more difficult. After a relatively successful growth experience for about two decades since the economic reforms in the early 1990s, Indian economic growth has palpably slowed over the last decade. Just as the world was beginning to attain some normalcy, a decade after the NAFC, the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic has plunged the global community into an exceptional new crisis, whose nature and longer-term implications are still to be fully recognised. Certainly, India has been among the more affected countries.

What are the new challenges that the world and India now face?
It is imperative that we regenerate an accelerated and more inclusive economic growth path so that there is hope for the abolition of poverty in India in the foreseeable future. The growth achieved in the first decade of the century must be rekindled, albeit in the context of a more fractious global trade and economy. To be sustainable, a host of challenges need to be tackled simultaneously.

Among the key issues facing the country are the linked problems of fiscal and financial sector stability that have grown in recent years. The economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic has intensified the existing stress. Sustained economic growth will not be feasible without adequate repair of the pillars of fiscal management at both the central and state levels. Similarly, the financial sector has been handicapped by rising, and unresolved, non-performing assets. The fiscal and financial sector issues are linked: hence we are launching significant research programmes in both areas that will include examining how the regulatory framework needs to be brought up to best practice international standards consistent with productive growth.

Unlike the past when the Centre played a key role in kick-starting reforms, going forward, the Centre and the States have to shoulder this responsibility together. CSEP is launching an initiative on ‘sub-national economic reforms’ to support the state and city governments in identifying and pushing reforms. It is widely recognised that India takes its own time in formulating and implementing reforms. One big part of this initiative is to compare and contrast India’s political economy of reforms compared to its peer countries and also across its different states.

Building a competitive, sustainable Indian economy

There is an ongoing energy transition globally from fossil fuels to renewable energy, and India remains at the centre of global attention. Previous models of energy generation, transmission and distribution are undergoing much more rapid change than had been envisaged. CSEP has had an intense program of research in this area of energy, natural resources and sustainability. We have addressed the issues of coal and gas comprehensively, culminating in two book-length publications. We are currently engaged in addressing issues related to the financial, social, and environmental sustainability of the existing power sector in India. We will strengthen our work in this area and provide timely policy directions based on our research

Climate change is a challenge that the world is facing on a collective basis. The possibility of a more cooperative multilateral approach has now risen with a President-elect in the United States who has already declared his intention to pursue policies that address this crucial issue. CSEP has decided to go beyond its work in energy towards an in-depth research program on climate change issues. Our objective is to help facilitate a cooperative global environment agenda through research that brings out the challenges and solutions for countries that have to balance objectives of economic growth, poverty reduction and sustainability. Therefore, our work will not only fill the long-standing gaps in this space but also catalyse greater research elsewhere.

The slowdown in economic growth over the last decade has mirrored the difficulties faced by Indian manufacturing in the face of increased global competition. Thus, industrial growth and goods exports have stagnated after having achieved record growth in the previous decade. . Economies of scale are necessary for firm competitiveness. India has a long way to go in this since India has a preponderance of low productivity tiny manufacturing firms, in contrast to other Asian countries. Robust manufacturing growth is not feasible without the emergence of good sized high productivity firms that are competitive in global markets, who can then reignite export growth. They are also essential for efficient import substituting growth in the domestic economy. The stagnation in industrial growth and manufacturing exports has also slowed overall employment growth. Utilising the demographic dividend that the country still enjoys over the next couple of decades requires building robust labour using manufacturing and corresponding labour skilling and redeployment. CSEP therefore plans to initiate a research program covering these key issues in manufacturing, trade, and employment generation.

Among the ingredients that are necessary for making the Indian economy competitive are the availability of infrastructure that promotes efficient logistics, and cities that are livable, well governed and hospitable for the promotion and growth of economic activities. CSEP plans to identify specific areas for research in these domains that may be helpful in providing practical and useful policy directions, while giving appropriate attention to the fiscal and financial constraints among others, that affect performance

A comparative review of the growth record of India within the context of Southeast and East Asia suggests that a primary policy failing has been inadequate outcomes in health and education, which have kept our human capital well behind the levels achieved in these countries. It is critically important that new policy directions are explored at the current time. Our view is that accelerated investment, delivery, and outcomes of health and education at all levels are key to addressing regional inequities and rebuilding sustained economic growth and employment. CSEP has already done considerable work on these subjects in the past few years and now contemplates new initiatives in these crucial areas.

India’s regional and global interests

The 2020 pandemic has accelerated several global trends, including an overall intensification of tensions in the global geopolitical sphere, the erosion of multilateralism, and an economic slowdown coupled with rising inequalities and the emergence of protectionist sentiment and policies. These pose significant challenges for India to pursue its regional and global interests while it seeks to expand its overall international influence. CSEP’s foreign policy and security programme has increasingly concentrated its attention on the immediate South Asia neighbourhood, giving particular attention to sub-regional connectivity in one of the world's least integrated regions. Under the Sambandh Initiative, our research will continue to focus on how India can correct the various economic, infrastructural and other connectivity gaps with its neighbours in the subcontinent and the Indian Ocean region.

In recognition of the rising economic and strategic profile of Asia, India had initiated a “Look East” policy as early as 1991 which has since been followed by all successive governments. It was strengthened in 2014 by transforming it into an “Act East Policy”. With the continuing rise of China in all spheres, economic, technological, and strategic, and the impressive progress of ASEAN and other Asian countries over the last few decades, India must further enhance its economic linkages to this region.

There is a need for a more research-based understanding of the region to assist our foreign policy efforts in this direction. While continuing its special focus on our immediate neighbourhood, CSEP expects to expand its foreign policy programme to encompass Asia as a whole. This constitutes an ambitious policy research programme, but one that is essential to pursue in the national interest.

My earnest hope is that we will be able to demonstrate our resolve to accomplish such an ambitious agenda in the years to come. All our efforts will be based on our core values of independence and integrity so that we can have demonstrable impact.

TRANSITION

BUILDING CSEP

We started in 2013 as the Brookings Institution India Center (BIIC), an overseas centre of the Brookings Institution, one of the world’s oldest and premier think tanks. After seven years of a fruitful partnership, the two institutions formally separated as of September 10, 2020 and the Centre for Social and Economic Progress (CSEP) was born. CSEP seeks to carry forward the legacy of BIIC and build upon it by further expanding the research agenda and sharpening the policy insights. CSEP inherits Brookings India’s personnel, values and funding structures.

Our collective vision is to build a centre of excellence, known for credible, rigorous research.

Our work in areas such as health, education, energy access and climate change aims to strengthen social progress in the country.

Our research furthers the agenda of economic progress through work on economic reforms, financial sector stability, investment, trade and manufacturing.

Our research is progress-oriented, with the goal of advancing India on the path of sustainable growth.

A NEW IDENTITY

As part of the institutional transition from Brookings India to CSEP, we undertook one of our most significant projects yet: a complete brand overhaul. From the start, we were clear that brand CSEP should be associated with academic rigour, new ideas and of course, progress. We worked closely with Chlorophyll, the branding agency, to translate this vision into a striking brand identity. The bold letters, classic colour theme and the arrows combine to create a powerful first introduction for CSEP. The four arrows reflect an understanding of progress as advancement in all directions, in different areas, and through many approaches. The tagline Independence, Integrity, Impact reiterates our commitment to the values we have inherited through our association with the Brookings Institution.

A DIGITAL PRESENCE

Advances in technology and increased access to the internet have made online research more viable globally. As a think tank involved in policymaking, one of our priorities is to make our research easily accessible. The new website was identified as a critical part of our new identity, to solidify the digital presence of CSEP.

To create a user-friendly website, we ensured that the flow of all content was seamless and visually appealing; we abided by legal and privacy guidelines; enabled safety protocols; carefully constructed navigation and layout; the responsiveness of all pages; conducted various testing to ensure performance; compatibility across mobile devices; the use of keywords to improve search and further optimize our work, among various other measures.

One of the other significant challenges was successfully migrating all the work that we did during our association with the Brookings Institution. A combination of these rigorous efforts and the implementation of branding guidelines on our website has provided us with an ideal platform for showcasing our research.

FINDING PATRONS

Institutional transition along with a raging pandemic and consequent economic downturn together impacted fundraising and development. For us, this crisis did present an opportunity. The transition allowed us to weave our own story of a truly independent, Indian think tank. To our great surprise - all stakeholders appreciated the change.

Generous philanthropy of our donors has been the engine that has supported our work since 2013 when we were founded as the Brookings Institution India Centre. This has sustained the institution’s commitment to independence, integrity and impact and makes possible its experts’ efforts to provide practical, effective solutions to the major policy challenges facing India and the world today. The initial donors comprise the “Founders Circle” of CSEP. As we transition to our new independent existence, we are launching a significant new fundraising drive in which we expect to add new donors to join the “Founders Circle”, who will be classified as “Patrons” of CSEP.

Our ‘Patrons’ will be corporations, organizations, foundations as well as philanthropic individuals who are invested in the intellectual life of CSEP. Their support and contribution powers us in the next phase of our growth to provide rigorous, independent and impactful research for policy making.

GROWTH,FINANCE & DEVELOPMENT

An important new paper on ‘India’s Housing Vacancy Paradox: How Rent Control and Weak contract Enforcement Produce Unoccupied Units and a Housing Shortage at the same time’ demonstrated that pro-tenant laws are positively related to vacancy rates and offered policy recommendations to tackle the problem of vacant housing.

01.

PROPERTY RIGHTS

The Centre for Social and Economic Progress is part of the Property Rights Research Consortium (PRRC), funded by a grant from the Omidyar Network India. The PRRC aims to enable evidence-based solutions for securing land, housing and property rights for all Indians. Along with CSEP, the Consortium has three other reputed institutions – the Centre for Policy Research (CPR), the National Council for Applied Economic Research (NCAER) and the National Institute for Public Finance and Policy (NIPFP). The project at CSEP has contributed to developing literature that facilitates a multidimensional understanding of property rights. The focus has been on exploring the impact more secure property rights have on the access to housing, strategic foreign investments and social mobility. Along with other members of the Consortium, CSEP has been actively participating in consultations and interactions with the Government of India, supporting policymaking with evidence-based research.

Additionally, the paper also contributes to the evolving policy and institutional debates on how the Indian government, and the MEA in particular, can enhance its expert and technical capacity to engage in future land acquisition processes abroad, especially in the case of Nepal and other neighbouring countries.

As India rapidly urbanises, the demand for housing is accelerating. The complex regime of contract enforcement and property rights legislation in India creates distortions, resulting in a shortage of accessible, affordable housing in the cities. In March 2020, a research paper “Mobility and Tenure Choice in India” by Arnab Dutta, Sahil Gandhi and Richard K Green examined the paradox of Indian internal migration and highlighted the interaction between internal migration and the choice to rent or buy property. In April 2020, Shaonlee Patranabis, Sahil Gandhi and Vaidehi Tandel published an article, “Are slums more vulnerable to the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Mumbai” which highlighted the greater incidence of COVID-19 within slums in Mumbai.

Enhancing regional connectivity is one of India’s top foreign policy priorities. In August 2020, an impact paper titled “When Land Comes in the Way: India’s Connectivity Infrastructure in Nepal” by Constantino Xavier and Riya Sinha, shed light on land acquisition as a particular challenge in the implementation of Indian Government-funded infrastructure projects in the neighbourhood. Through two case studies in Nepal – the Postal Highway (Hulaki Rajmarg) and the Jogbani-Biratnagar Railway Line, the authors examine land-related issues in key infrastructure projects and offer policy recommendations to address the gaps.vcv

Tenure security is not only an indicator of economic outcomes but also impacts social mobility and health. Using data from the Teen Age Girls [TAG] survey of Project Nanhi Kali, we explored how property rights influence health outcomes of adolescent girls in India. The November 2020 Impact Paper, “Do property rights explain health outcomes of adolescent girls in India?” by Pradeep Guin, Neelanjana Gupta, Krishanu Karmakar & Kaveri Thara shows that teenage girls who lived in pucca houses were on an average taller and with higher body mass index (BMI),

02.

THIRD GENERATION ECONOMICRE FORMS

The growth story of India can be broken down into two major phases of economic expansions – the formulation of Planning Commission post-independence and the New Economic Policy of 1991 - both followed by troughs. In an expansive Working Paper, Rakesh Mohan analysed the factors that led to the derailment of the Indian Economy and suggested successive reforms to achieve sustained high growth in the next few decades.

The paper compares India with China, Indonesia and Korea to highlight the lack of adequate attention to nutrition, health, and education in the early years of growth leading to the deterioration of human resources. The challenges of weak public provision also extend to infrastructure, suppressing potential of private sector. The paper singles out the colonial legacy of centralised power and uncoordinated action to have fractured India’s growth prospects. In summary, the Indian economy is in trouble, further exacerbated by the Covid-19 crisis, and hence needs a major reboot once again.

The paper made a strong case for a third-generation reform strategy, emphasising the need for strong government institutions to ensure efficient delivery of public goods. To support creation of jobs, labour-augmenting investment in both agriculture and industry must be backed by policy focused at building an efficient public sector to provide essential infrastructure, R&D and other services. Efforts need to be made to increase efficiency and compliance in tax revenue collection to enable a shift of fiscal expenditure composition towards increases in public investment. Investment in critical infrastructure is also essential, and the economy must remain open and protectionist trade measures be reversed to enable the private sector to revive its animal spirits. A comprehensive new policy framework needs articulation in order to set the stage for accelerated sustained growth over the next couple of decades.

02.

THIRD GENERATION ECONOMICRE FORMS

CSEP intends to develop an independent research and assessment mechanism that will examine elements of the framework toward these ends.

COVID-19 induced economic stress is likely to result in Indian economy contracting between 5-10% during 2020-21. This event struck at a time when the economic engine was already decelerating. There is a clear and present imperative to accelerate economic growth to create gainful employment for our young and expanding labour force, alleviate extreme poverty, and improve delivery of key services like education, health, sanitation, etc.Tackling these challenges will require the centre and state governments to join forces. While a lot of external support exists for the central government from think tanks, multilateral agencies, among others, the same is not true for state governments which are at very different levels of income and development, requiring varying degrees of support and guidance. For example, New Delhi with its per capita GDP of ~US$4,500 is similar to a middle-income country, while Bihar at US$500 is comparable to one of the world’s poorest economies

QUOTECOVID-19 induced economic stress is likely to result in Indian economy contracting between 5-10% during 2020-21. This event struck at a time when the economic engine was already decelerating. There is a clear and present imperative to accelerate economic growth to create gainful employment for our young and expanding labour force, alleviate extreme poverty, and improve delivery of key services like education, health, sanitation, etc.

Tackling these challenges will require the centre and state governments to join forces. While a lot of external support exists for the central government from think tanks, multilateral agencies, among others, the same is not true for state governments which are at very different levels of income and development, requiring varying degrees of support and guidance. For example, New Delhi with its per capita GDP of ~US$4,500 is similar to a middle-income country, while Bihar at US$500 is comparable to one of the world’s poorest economies.

CSEP has launched an ambitious initiative on ‘sub-national economic reforms’ to support state and city governments in pushing the needle on economic reforms. To begin with, the initiative will endeavour to answer fundamental questions

  • How much of state growth is driven by endowments, central government funding and policies, impact of global economy; and how much is due to its own policies?
  • Are there multiple growth models or does one size fit all?
  • What is the political economy of economic reforms?

We aim to find answers to these questions while working directly with key stakeholders like state/municipal governments, so that there is a sense of ownership, increasing the likelihood of reform happening on the ground.

The aim of “Financial Growth and Stability Framework” will be to ignite debate, discussion and action to transform India’s financial sector as an engine of growth. A number of tectonic shifts have taken place over the last year or so – a steep rise in NPAs, likely additional burden due to COVID-19 related bankruptcies, and promise of better and more efficient financial intermediation due to digital disruptions like the availability of the GSTN (Goods and Services Tax Network) data. These shifts have pointed to the need for creating such a framework to push debate and policy in the right direction.

The key areas of enquiry will be financial intermediation, the role of the public sector, financial stability, and fintech.

The strains on global public finances, especially for subnational governments, have intensified as a result of the COVID-19 crisis, with likely greater implications for India and other emerging markets. For India to achieve its full potential for economic growth and development over the medium term, its public finances will need to rebuild the revenue base, improve the quality and efficiency of public spending and financial management across all levels of government, and establish the pillars for sustainable public debt.

The civil society/non-profit organisation (CSO/NPO) sector in India has undergone major changes during the last decade, and more so over the last five years. Some of these changes have happened as a consequence of broader social-political-economic shifts. Others have been triggered by the entry of corporates in the development space after the Indian government introduced Section 135 in the Companies Act, mandating that companies must spend 2% of their average net profits made during the three immediately preceding fiscal years on Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) activities. The amendment, passed in 2013, brought togethe for-profit and not-for-profit organisations that were traditionally not used to working together. Within this context, conversations around measurement and impact, funding models and governance have taken on a new dimension. A new study from the Centre for Social and Economic Progress attempts to explore these shifts and understand how these two vastly different sectors are trying to find the unique synergy to work together. Our study attempts to make a thorough assessment of these shifts, identify the best practices and offer a framework for understanding impact and good governance.

ENERGY, NATURALRESOURCES AND SUSTAINABILITY

Electricity Distribution Companies (DisComs) are the linchpin for all of India’s ambitions for making electricity clean and smart. Unfortunately, they are also the weakest link, and have a poor track record in terms of both financial and operational performance. As part of a multiyear deep dive on the future of DisComs, we are focused on a range of studies spanning descriptive analysis to prescriptive (what may happen in the future, especially as both technologies and policies change).

The Energy, Resources & Sustainability vertical at CSEP is dedicated to conducting comprehensive research on India’s energy potential and requirements. Our work centers on the study of coal, natural gas, minerals, power sector, renewable energy, electric vehicles, and climate change in India. Our objective is to advance impactful research that helps understand India’s energy needs while being mindful of the environmental concerns around it.

Important Projects

Coal
Natural Gas
Mining
Discoms

We have manually compiled operational and pricing data across almost all the DisComs across India and are using this to examine the link between operational and financial performance, as well as reasons for heterogeneity in outcomes across India. Our recent study found enormous cash flow shortfalls that are distinct from officially stated book accounting, and ongoing research examines more nuanced challenges of finance, government support, and cost coverage.

This work aims to combine a detailed political economy analysis of DISCOMs with bottom-up modeling of their current and future prospects under various scenarios of targets and an explicit or implicit social contract. Without such an understanding, no amount of top-down (central government) push is likely to come to fruition. The research aims to inform and improve not just broader policy but specific targets and programs as well, which would benefit from a holistic analysis instead of the narrower silos in which most programs are anchored.

CARBON TRACKER

The CSEP Electricity & Carbon Tracker (carbontracker.in) is India’s first public portal that tracks real-time electricity all-India by fuel along with attendant carbon emissions, and provides visualisation and analytics tools as well. It now has two years of high-resolution data, and has been a go-to source for many researchers and organisations for understanding the critical issue of balancing the grid continuously, especially by time of day. It has also been cited by numerous publications including the Wall Street Journal and Hindustan Times.

We used the tracker to explore the drop, surge and balancing in electricity generation on April 15, 2020 at 9:00 pm, when the Prime Minister requested people to turn off electricity as a means of solidarity with COVID-19 essential services providers. We are presently finishing a study on examining the interplay of various sources of electricity in terms of balancing, ramping, correlations, variability (especially for renewable energy), etc. for 2019.

CLIMATE CHANGE

There is increasing evidence that climate change will have a significant impact on the weather and consequently the economy and society globally, but more so in India. The impact on stressed land, water, and vegetation is little researched in the Indian context. But there would be wide-ranging consequences affecting agriculture, energy, infrastructure, industry, and even the financial sector. And to this, we will need to add how climate change will impact health, labour supply and household consumption patterns. Finally, there would also be indirect or second and third-order effects, as upstream and downstream changes percolate through the economy. In the Asian and Indian context, the challenges thrown up by climate change would be further exacerbated by the combination of population and income growth that will together place further stress on the environment. And this will then circle back into the economy.

An understanding of these will then help identify the actions that India needs to take whether they are related to mitigation or adaptation. The end objective is to evolve a specific set of policy recommendations related to institutions, investments, innovation, global agreements, and corrective actions that would help India better deal with the obvious changes ahead.

How should we deal with these emerging challenges? This question necessitates an understanding from the ground up. First, how will the climate change in different parts of India, and what does it mean for air, water, and soil. Second, how will this climatic change impact output? Third how would it affect consumption patterns of various products and services. Fourth, how might climate change affect human health? And fifth, how will all of this combine to impact the economy.

FOREIGN POLICY AND SECURITY

The Foreign Policy and Security vertical conducts policy-relevant studies on India’s national interests in a changing regional and global order. Our experts focus on strategic challenges such as regional connectivity in South Asia and the Indian Ocean; the rise of China; and military modernization. Our research also examines the political, security and economic drivers of India’s deepening partnerships in the Indo-Pacific, Southeast Asia and Europe.

In February 2020, we launched the Sambandh: Regional Connectivity Initiative to conduct data-driven research to map India’s links with neighbouring countries, including Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Maldives, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. Driven by a holistic understanding of connectivity, Sambandh surveys India’s regional integration across socio-cultural, economic, environmental, political, and security indicators. The initiative is based on collaborative inputs from scholars and practitioners to offer empirical insights and recommendations for policymakers and other stakeholders invested in reconnecting India with South Asia, Bay of Bengal, and the Indo-Pacific.

The initiative was inaugurated with a regional discussion on Sambandh: Reconnecting India and the Region. The first policy brief of the initiative, Sambandh as Strategy: India’s new approach to Regional Connectivity, authored by Dr Constantino Xavier, was also released during the event. The initiative released several studies on select indicators of regional connectivity including on education, trade, tourism, and humanitarian assistance and disaster relief. Based on a year-long study of Indian assistance for cross-border connectivity infrastructure in Nepal, our scholars Constantino Xavier and Riya Sinha co-authored a paper on the challenges of land acquisition focused on two road and rail projects: When Land Comes in the Way: India’s Connectivity Infrastructure in Nepal.The Sambandh Scholars Speak blog series on the CSEP website features interviews with scholars and experts on regional connectivity in South Asia, covering topics such as border enclaves, conflict and conservation or energy cooperation.

In order to generate greater understanding and dialogue on critical developments in India’s immediate neighbourhood, we have also organised several events (both physical and online) around our research publications and on timely topics such as the impact of Covid-19 on regional connectivity. The panels featured distinguished expert from South Asia including scholars and former government officials.

“India finds itself in an increasingly dangerous world, one that is fragmenting and slowing down economically. It is a world in transition, one in which India’s adversaries-state or non-state, or both as in Pakistan’s case -are becoming increasingly powerful. If the external world is becoming more unpredictable and uncertain, so are internal politics and security in most of the powers. These are challenges that traditional institutions and state structures are not well-equipped to handle, mitigate, or solve. In this changing world, what are some of the basic and long-term drivers of India’s foreign policy which determine the overarching goal? What is India’s strategy to achieve those goals? What should India be doing?

Simply put, the task of India’s foreign policy is to protect and secure India’s integrity, citizens, values and assets, and to enable the development and transformation of India into a modern nation in which every Indian can achieve his or her full potential. The task of foreign policy professionals is to enable the transformation of India and to create an environment for that transformation.”

Since 2014, an influx of Chinese capital in India has transformed the structure of India’s trade and investment relations with China. An Impact Paper by Visiting Fellow Ananth Krishnan provided a more complete picture of Chinese investment in India and assessed the implications of Chinese investment and acquisitions for India’s diplomacy, trade strategy, and security. Chinese companies have invested billions of US dollars in greenfield investments, in acquiring stakes in Indian companies, especially pharmaceutical and technology sectors, they have participated in numerous funding rounds of Indian start-ups in tech space and have invested capital in acquiring or expanding existing facilities in India.

The paper highlights how China’s foreign policy is shaped by the growing weight and stakes of new actors - the private sector and provincial governments – and how India needs to proactively engage with them. India should re-examine and update its trade and investment strategy and better leverage the growing stakes of Chinese companies in the Indian market, if it wishes to pursue its trade objectives with China. Rising investment from China certainly brings advantages both for the government of India, which is looking to correct a lopsided trading relationship, and for Indian companies in need of capital. The paper argues that while it is in India’s interests to enable this process through creating a friendly, open and predictable investment environment, the government will also need to more proactively safeguard longer-term considerations of security and privacy as it opens the door to new sources of investment.

ALL STAFF MEETING
FP-BOOK CLUB MEETINGS
BOOK LAUNCH
INTERNSHIP ORIENTATION
SAMBANDH-REGIONAL CONNECTIVITY
INTERNSHIP ORIENTATION
VIRTUAL MEETINGS

SUPPORT

BOARD MEMBERS

ADI GODREJ
Chairman, Godrej Group
GAURAV DALMIA
Chairman,Dalmia Group Holdings
HARI BHARTIA
Co-Chairman & MD,Jubilant Bhartia Group
RAHUL BAJAJ
Chairman, Bajaj Group
RAKESH MOHAN
President & DistinguishedFellow, CSEP
Vikram Singh Mehta
Chairman & DistinguishedFellow, CSEP
VIKRAM KIRLOSKAR
President, CII & Chairmanand MD, Kirloskar Systems Ltd.

FOUNDERS CIRCLE

The Founders Circle (FC) is an eminent body of industry experts and community leaders actively invested in the intellectual life of CSEP Research Foundation. The names of the Founders Circle members are proudly displayed on the Donor Plaque in our offices. The contribution of the Founders Circle powers us in the next phase of our growth to provide quality, cutting-edge and independent research for policy making.

  • Adi Godrej
  • Aditya Birla Group
  • Ajay Piramal
  • Bharti Infratel Ltd.
  • Baba Kalyani, Bharat Forge Ltd.
  • Dattaraj V. Salgaocar
  • DCM Shriram
  • Gamesa Renewable Ltd.
  • Gaurav Dalmia
  • Geetanjali and Vikram Kirloskar
  • IDFC
  • JK Organisation
  • Jubilant Bhartia Group
  • Kiran Mazumdar-Shaw
  • Mayank Singha
  • Nishith Desai Associates
  • Nita and Mukesh Ambani
  • Onkar S. Kanwar & Neeraj R.S. Kanwar
  • Rahul Bajaj
  • Sanjay Nayar
  • Shardul Shroff and Pallavi Shroff
  • Standard Chartered
  • Sudha and Kris Gopalakrishnan
  • TATA Group
  • Yes Bank

FRIENDS OF CSEP & PROJECT DONORS

  • Citi Group
  • Lockheed Martin India Private Ltd.
  • Narotam Sekhsaria Foundation
  • Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC)
  • Mitsubishi Corporation India Pvt. Ltd.

THE TEAM

SENIOR RESEARCHERS

Vikram Singh Mehta
Chairman & DistinguishedFellow, CSEP
RAKESH MOHAN
President & DistinguishedFellow, CSEP
SHIVSHANKAR MENON
Distinguished Fellow
MONTEK SINGH AHLUWALIA
Distinguished Fellow
SHISHIR GUPTA
Senior Fellow & COO
RAHUL TONGIA
Senior Fellow
LAVEESH BHANDARI
Senior Fellow
RAJESH CHADHA
Program Director
CONSTANTINO XAVIER
Fellow
SAHIL GANDHI
Fellow
DALJIT SINGH
Visiting Scholar
RAJA SEKHAR DEVAGUPTAPU
Consultant
BHASKAR CHAKRAVORT
Non-Resident Senior Fellow
RICHARD GREEN
Senior Visiting Fellow
ANIT MUKHERJEE
Non-Resident Fellow
BADRI NARAYANAN
GopalakrishnanNon-Resident Fellow
NEELIMA KHETAN
Visiting Fellow
PRADEEP GUIN
Visiting Fellow
KAVERI THARA
Visiting Fellow
KRISHANU KARMAKAR
Visiting Fellow

RESEARCH STAFF

ANTARA GHOSAL SINGH
Research Associate
DIVYA SRINIVASAN
Research Assistant
GANESH SIVAMANI
Research Assistant
ISHITA KAPOOR
Research Assistant
MALLIKA ANAND
Research Assistant
MUHAMMAD TABISH PARRAY
Research Analyst
NANDINI AGNIHOTRI
Research Assistant
NIKHIL TYAGI
Research Analyst
NITIKA NAYAR
Research Assistant
RISHABH TRIVEDI
Research Assistant
RISHITA SACHDEVA
Research Assistant
RIYA SINHA
Research Associate
SANEET CHAKRADEO
Research Analyst
SHAONLEE PATRANABIS
Research Assistant
SIKIM CHAKRABORTY
Data Analyst

COMMUNICATION & DEVELOPMENT

ADITI SUNDAN
Programme Assistant
MUKESH RAWAT
Graphic Designer
ROHAN LAIK
Communications Officer
YASSER
Development Officer
ZEHRA KAZMI
Communications Associate

ADMIN & FINANCE

K. J. BASSKARAN
Head of Admin
KRISHAN KUMAR SHARMA
Head of Finance
PREETI VIJ
Executive - Administration
SHISHIR GUPTA
Senior Fellow & COO

Contact

Get In Touch.

The Centre for Social and Economic Progress (CSEP) is an independent, public policy think tank with a mandate to conduct research and analysis on critical issues facing India and the world and help shape policies that advance sustainable growth and development.

Send Us A Message
Sending...
Your message was sent, thank you!
Contact Information
Where to Find Us

No. 6, 2nd Floor, Dr. Jose P. Rizal Marg, Chanakyapuri, New Delhi – 110 021

Email Us At

info@csep.org

Call Us At

Phone: +91 11 24157600