Editor's Note
This is an edited version of a lecture that was delivered by Shivshankar Menon at Takshashila Institution on February 10, 2024.
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ABSTRACT
In times of uncertainty, how might one predict and plan India’s future? This lecture evaluates how India could analyse significant geopolitical trends to develop scenarios for the future, and assess the prospects of these scenarios becoming reality. Since half of India’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is accounted by the external sector, the lecture focuses on developments taking place around India rather than in India. India has critical external dependencies in energy, technology, and capital that affect India’s transformation into a modern and prosperous country. India must, therefore, carefully track and respond to geopolitical developments in its neighbourhood and beyond.
Keywords: India, Transformation, US, China, Neighbourhood, Geopolitics, Prediction
Conversation with Shivshankar Menon
Shivshankar Menon
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The Centre for Social and Economic Progress (CSEP) is an independent, public policy think tank with a mandate to conduct research and analysis on critical issues facing India and the world and help shape policies that advance sustainable growth and development.